Atlantic disturbance has 50% chance of forming a cyclone in a week

29 July, 8.30am:

An area of disturbed weather in the Atlantic Ocean has a 50% chance of turning into a weak cyclone within seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

But it is very unlikely to occur before passing over Anguilla, and currently poses no threat to the island.

In its 8am forecast on Monday, 29 July, the Florida-based weather centre said the weather system is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next couple of days.

“Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for some development thereafter,” the forecast said.

A tropical depression could form later this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas, it added.

On Sunday, 28 July, Anguilla’s Department of Disaster Management issued a statement saying it is monitoring the disturbance.

It said the threat of a storm remains “little to none, *AT THIS TIME*, with the risk of damaging winds, rainfall, and seas being low or very low”.

The department added that no action is required from residents other than having a hurricane plan in place for the peak of the season.

 

Information on how to prepare for a hurricane is available from the US National Weather Service here.

Visit the US National Hurricane Center for the latest weather updates at www.nhc.noaa.gov