2.30pm, 8 September
Tropical cyclone activity is not expected in the Atlantic region over the next seven days, providing a respite during the peak of hurricane season.
The National Hurricane Center reported no disturbances in its 1.15pm forecast, with the previous tropical wave having dissipated and no longer posing any threat.
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Anguilla’s Department of Disaster Management advises the public stay connected this Atlantic hurricane season through its official WhatsApp channel. Click here for more information.
Information on how to prepare for a hurricane is available from the US National Weather Service here.
A list and map of hurricane shelter locations can be found on the Anguilla Red Cross site here.
Earlier reports:
1pm, 6 September
A tropical wave moving west across the Atlantic has a slimmer chance of developing into a depression than previously forecast, weather experts have said.
In its 8am update, the National Hurricane Center said there is now only a 30% chance of the weather system developing in the next 48 hours or week.
“Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, and the chances of this system becoming a tropical depression are decreasing,” it said.
Anguilla’s Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is monitoring the system and said in a Facebook post at 11.48am that there is “no immediate threat to Anguilla”.
“Rest assured, DDM is closely tracking all updates and forecast paths. Should conditions change, we will increase the frequency of updates and provide timely and accurate information to the public,” it added.
The DDM advises the public stay connected this Atlantic hurricane season through its official WhatsApp channel. Click here for more information.
2.30pm, 5 September
A tropical wave moving west across the Atlantic at 10 miles per hour is not likely to develop into a depression until early next week, forecasters have now said.
Previously the National Hurricane Center expected development over the weekend, but in its 2pm forecast it said that environmental dry air is expected to limit change.
The weather system has a 70% chance of forming a cyclone over the next week and 40% chance over the next few days, the centre added.
It said the wave is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week, and interests there – including Anguilla – should monitor its progress.
Anguilla currently remains outside of the seven day cone of uncertainty, while the projected tracking is directed slightly south of previous forecasts.
Anguilla’s Department of Disaster Management (DDM) is monitoring the storm and said in a Facebook post at 9.38am that there is “no immediate threat to Anguilla”.
“Rest assured, DDM is closely tracking all updates and forecast paths. Should conditions change, we will increase the frequency of updates and provide timely and accurate information to the public,” it added.
The DDM advises the public stay connected this Atlantic hurricane season through its official WhatsApp channel. Click here for more information.
9.30am, 4 September
A tropical wave travelling slowly west across the Atlantic has a 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression over the next 48 hours, and an 80% chance over the next week.
A tropical depression has winds of less than 39 miles per hour and is the earliest stage of a cyclone – a rotating storm system. If it strengthens it can form a tropical storm and then a hurricane.
Anguilla’s Department of Disaster Management is monitoring the storm and said in a Facebook post at 9.26am that there is “no immediate threat to Anguilla”.
“Rest assured, DDM is closely tracking all updates and forecast paths. Should conditions change, we will increase the frequency of updates and provide timely and accurate information to the public,” it added.
In an 8am forecast, the National Hurricane Center said showers and thunderstorms have started to consolidate and become slightly better organised.
“Environmental conditions are conducive to development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend.”
It added that the wave is moving west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. Anguilla is not yet in the National Hurricane Center’s seven day cone of uncertainty.
9am, 3 September
As a tropical wave continues to track westward across the Atlantic, the potential zone for cyclone formation in – known as the ‘cone of uncertainty’ – has broadened.
This means that Anguilla could lie within the possible path of the storm, according to weather forecasters, although at this stage it remains outside the official seven-day area.
In a Facebook post Anguilla’s Department of Disaster Management (DDM) said is in “monitoring mode only” and will not issue any public advisories at this time.
In an 8am forecast, the National Hurricane Center said the weather system still has a a 70% chance of developing into a tropical depression over the next week.
It is moving westward to west-northwest at about 15 miles per hour and is expected to travel across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic into early next week.
The DDM advises the public stay connected this Atlantic hurricane season through its official WhatsApp channel. Click here for more information.
9am, 2 September
Weather experts say there is now a 70% chance that a tropical wave that is moving away from the west coast of Africa will develop into a depression in the next week.
In an 8am forecast, the National Hurricane Center said the weather system is now south of the Cabo Verde islands and moving west-northwest at about 15 miles per hour.
It continues to produce disorganised showers and thunderstorms, and environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development over the next several days, it added.
Forecasters said a depression is likely to form “later this week or this weekend”.
Anguilla’s Department of Disaster Management (DDM) said Anguilla remains outside the seven-day cone of uncertainty, meaning there is no immediate threat to the island.
In a Facebook post it added that the department is in “monitoring mode only” and will not issue any public advisories at this time.
“Rest assured, DDM is closely tracking all updates and forecast paths. Should conditions change, we will provide timely and accurate information to the public,” the post said.
The department advises the public stay connected this Atlantic hurricane season through its official WhatsApp channel. Click here for more information.
9.30am, 1 September
A tropical wave just off the west coast of Africa has a 40% chance of becoming a cyclone over the next week, weather experts have predicted.
According to an 8am forecast from the National Hurricane Center, the system is currently producing disorganised showers and thunderstorms.
“Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form later this week or next weekend,” it said.
The wave is expected to move west-northwestward at about 15 miles per hour across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week.
In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast increased storm risk this Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from from June to November.
It predicted between 13 and 19 named cyclones with winds of 39 miles per hour or higher, with six to 10 forecast to become hurricanes with winds of 74 mph or higher.
Of those, the agency was expecting three to five to be major hurricanes, of category three, four or five, with winds of 111 mph or higher.
Information on how to prepare for a hurricane is available from the US National Weather Service here.
A list and map of hurricane shelter locations can be found on the Anguilla Red Cross site here.
Visit the US National Hurricane Center for the latest updates weather updates at nhc.noaa.gov
